AI in RetAil

I had the good fortune to speak early September at one of India’s most prestigious educational institutions, Coimbatore Institute of Technology, which has been a breeding ground for several top technocrats this country has produced. 

Among various notable such people include the current Chairman of the eponymous TATA Group, Mr. N. Chandrasekaran. 

I was invited to speak at RISE 2024, the in-house conclave of the college, where I addressed over 300+ students and faculty members for over 90 mins. 

 

That I succeeded yet again, keeping the audience awake right after the lunch break, has been a sort of a successful streak to me as a speaker across various conclaves, conferences and events worldwide since 2006. 

Perhaps, it was the intriguing subject that I chose this time around, to keep the listeners not just awake, rather get excited about the possibilities that Artificial Intelligence brings to Retail. 

Way back in the 90s, my first brush with retail was shopping at the ration shop in our locality every month, where I would be assigned by my parents, the task of bringing rice, sugar and kerosene, among other things. 

Why kerosene – we would use them to boil water for bath using a pumping stove! 

Later on, I witnessed firsthand the early days of organised retail in India, with the mushrooming of concepts such as Lifestyle and Shoppers Stop in fashion and the likes Subhiksha, Stop and Shop, Nilgiris and RPG Retail’s Foodworld in grocery retail. 

 

When I joined the erstwhile Madras’ first Baskin Robbins ice-cream parlour as a part time employee in 1997, I witnessed and used the billing machine for the first time, which kept a track of the day’s sales.

From there to now, the use of technology in Retail has not just stunned me, rather has kept me guessing on what’s coming next. 

  

I have been using Apps such as Amazon, Zepto, Swiggy for e-commerce, household and grocery shopping and for ordering food respectively for over a decade now. The amount of machine learning and artificial intelligence used by these companies, especially the likes of Amazon, is very interesting. 

Offline retailers in India have been laggards to embrace artificial intelligence, primarily due to heavy investments that go in to building such modules. However, the choice for them is limited. The writing on the wall is clear - start building AI into your business planning NOW or perish. 

 

One could argue that even a rudimentary ERP is in nascent stages in Indian retail, let alone AI in Retail. However, the choices we have on hand are extremely limited. 

One of the key reasons for loss of sales is not having the right merchandise at stores, and not lack of footfalls. 

Embracing AI / ML is a must for offline retailers, which was the essence of my presentation at the institution. Will share the link of my lecture here, soon. 

Much ado about quick deliveries

Among the most happening news last week was the latest fund raising of Zepto, a Quick Commerce company. In all, the company has raised over USD 1 Bn (INR 8,200 Cr) in 12 months and is currently valued at USD 5 Bn (INR 60,000 Crores). And what business is Zepto in – as we all know, a term popularly addressed as “Quick Commerce”, a richer offspring of e-commerce. 

If e-commerce companies deliver goods in 1-3 days, Q-commerce companies deliver in 15 mins or less. This is a kind of invention of a product (or service) that no one really wanted. 

When e-commerce in India started getting bigger around 2012 – 2016, delivery in 3 days was a “wow moment” for customers. And then came Amazon’s Prime subscription with which 1-day delivery was made possible. From 2018-2022, one-day delivery was almost the norm, be it Amazon or Flipkart or Myntra or Ajio or any other. 

Circa 1996. That was when I was first exposed to modern retailing. My mother asked me to visit a particular shop where the sugar was cheaper than at the neighbourhood ration shop where we would usually would buy dal, pulses, kerosene and sugar, of course. 

The name of the shop was Subhiksha. It wasn’t just a new shop, rather a new concept. Where one could stand across the counter, look at various products and ask for them to be shown and then decide if one wanted to buy or not. 

Quickly, Subhiksha moved in to one of India’s first ever self-service models of grocery retailing, where one could walk around the store, browse and buy. Add to it, there were several offers and promotions offered by brands.

Cut to Sep. 2024. 

Shoppers browse the apps of Zepto, Blinkit (by Zomato) or Instamart (by Swiggy) alike and then order stuff (that they mostly don’t need, atleast immediately) and those which could be delivered in just a few mins. 

Thousands of users have shared their dissatisfaction that their orders didn’t reach on time as promised – 10 mins or less. I wonder, when did consumers, let alone humans become so busy, that a wait of 10 mins for grocery (or 30 mins for pizzas) is considered eternal? And the FoMo of missing out on ephemeral offers! Phew. 

Back in the day when Dominos would advertise that their pizzas would be delivered in 30 mins or consider it for free, many customers prayed that their deliveries be delayed, so their pizzas would come free. This is just the bane of humankind.

The only characteristic that differentiates humans vs animals is that of greed. The love for greed that consumers carry is incomparable to any other living beings. Even the wildest of animals will hunt their prey only when they are hungry. And this greed (for offers, discounts and promotions) is what keeps us retailers going. 

However, humans (as consumers) in several occasions buy things which they never needed in the first place. And at times when their shopping was inconsequential. 

Take End of Season Sales (EoSS) for example.

Shoppers wait for the occasion and throng branded shops at malls and high streets to buy apparel, shoes, accessories, home improvement items and what not. And then struggle to find use of these products, which end up rotting in wardrobes unused. 

Similar is the Q-commerce conundrum. 

All of a sudden, men, women and children in metro cities yearn for pantry and grocery items to be delivered before half a litre of milk comes to a boil. As if we are headed towards a catastrophe or an Armageddon moment. 

What started off during the Covid-19 lockdown – such as the fear of avoiding shops due to crowds, has now become a staple at several thousand household across India. Scarcity (of time)has never been more celebrated ever! 

Lessons from the sacking of a CEO

The week that passed by was abuzz with the news of the sacking (or so it was announced in the media) of Laxman Narasimhan, who was handpicked for the job by the former Chairman of the Board and Founder of Starbucks Coffee, Howard Schultz.

Laxman has been on the job for a less than 2 years, after he took over full time in Mar. ’23, followed by a 6-month’s immersion period of going through rigorous training across cafés in the US, Mexico, Japan and China, to understand the processes undertaken in the chain that runs over 33,000 outlets worldwide, almost 30% of them operating in the United States.

With not just one but several challenges to face, the ousted CEO was doing good, at least as it looked like supported by corporate PR. 

The Indian-origin professional had earlier worked at McKinsey & Co where he served for 19 years, followed by stints with FMCG powerhouses such as Pepsi and Reckitt, before joining Starbucks in Oct. ‘22. He went on a global tour to acclimatise himself with the way coffee (and other local beverages) are consumed. 

His pitstop in India was in early 2024, when he announced that TATA Starbucks, the JV company would operate over 1,000 cafés in India (from over 400 currently) by 2028.

On social media portals, especially on the professional platform Linkedin, Laxman was a popular figure, doling out various snippets of how his life revolved in the new role.

There were several issues the ousted CEO was working on – labour challenges being the most important one. Over 400 cafés in the US alone have been unionised. The Gen Z and Millennials were not preferring in-café dining as much. 

Digital-first customers as they are termed, ordering online and preferring takeaways were trends being witnessed over all in the Quick Service Restaurant Industry worldwide, especially in the US. The inconsistency of service experience, especially that of its mainstay, the hot coffee was being questioned by ardent consumers of the Starbucks, who have patronised the chain for several decades. 

In a recent video interview to Fortune magazine, when asked about "how does work-life balance look like for a Fortune 500 CEO", Laxman had said, “If there’s anything after 6pm, and I am in town, It’s got to be a pretty high bar to keep me away from the family”.

“Anybody who gets a minute of time after that, they better be sure that it’s important. Because if not, I’ll just wait for another day.”

The role of the CEO is something that every young management trainee, a first time job seeker, looks up to in their lifetime. No matter how small the company, the title of “CEO” is a mission accomplished for several millions worldwide. While many may say they do not chase titles, they do, they certainly do.

The life at the top and in the corner room is complicated, I must admit. 

I have seen in close quarters, the lives of atleast 4 such Executives in my own personal life. They need to look in to various issues pertaining to life – personal, professional, a public life that is useful for business networking and so on.

Yet, the life of an Executive at the top is a lonely journey at best. There are so many things that the Chief Executive cannot speak in public or can confide to anyone, not even with their spouse or close friends. 

There are diktats from the Board or the Management. And then, there are these smallest of things that impacts their popularity among those working for the company. 

As exciting it looks to be, it is one thing to get in to the chief executive socks. 

And to get beaten up by life every other day, yet putting up a brave smile and to keep moving on as though nothing much happened (nerves of steel) – and eventually, a sad, sudden exit such as being sacked (as the media announces), is the least one yearns for!